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CBOE Bitcoin Futures: Trading advice from a seasoned stock+options+forex trader

Disclaimer: This is only my opinion. Nobody knows what will happen in the future, but this is what I will be doing.
TLDR: If you own Bitcoin already: don't sell. If you want to buy more, watch the market over the next few days (especially the next few hours) for good opportunities.
I've been a professional (other people's money) stock, options, and FOREX day-trader for a few years, and have many more years of non-professional (my own money) experience.
In about one hour (6PM Eastern Time), the Chicago Board Options Exchange will begin trading Bitcoin futures under the ticker XBT.
A short explanation of futures trading: Traders bet on the future price on an asset, in this case Bitcoin. Instead of actually trading Bitcoin, they are trading contracts that give the right to buy or sell the asset at a certain price. Futures exist for many assets, including but not limited to Gold, Silver, Wheat, Corn, Soy, the S&P500, etc.... Read more on futures here.

What does this mean for Bitcoin?

The addition of this new security will make a big impact on Bitcoin trading. Bitcoin will see a huge increase in trading volume and, consequently, short-term volatility. Eventually, the addition of volume will cause the price to stabilize. However, the new traders will likely cause a frenzy of buying and selling that, for the near future, will cause huge spikes in both directions. Again, in the long-term, the price should stabilize from the additional liquidity, but the influx of traders will temporarily destabilize the market.
Other than the price, the introduction of Bitcoin to mainstream traders will further support the growth of Bitcoin as a currency. I am very pro-Bitcoin long-term.
Watch this video from Andreas Antonopoulos for his insight on the CBOE.

My Plan

This is my opinion. I cannot predict the future with certainty, and there is a very good chance I will be wrong. Be smart with your trading to protect you when you're wrong.
Today I sold about half of my Bitcoin at a profit after buying during yesterday's mini-correction. My plan is to hold the other half through the chaos. I am anticipating major price swings in both directions over the next few hours/days, so I intend to buy back the Bitcoin I sold if/when the price dips considerably. In the event that the price skyrockets, I still have half of my Bitcoin. In the event that the price tanks downwards, I can buy much more Bitcoin to bring my average Bitcoin price down significantly.
If you already have Bitcoin, I suggest holding it tight. If you want to buy more, you may see some very good opportunities in the near future.
Good luck! :)
EDIT: Although futures trading started tonight, most traders will not engage in trading until tomorrow morning.
Thanks for the gold!
submitted by Battelman2 to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

New rule! Also are cryptocurrencies an investment, will there be a crash? Everything answered here!

This is going to be the only crypto post for now and an announcement:
Rule 6: Bitcoins & cryptocurrenies should be discussed in CryptoCurrency. Posts regarding this topic will be automatically removed.
If there's a stock correlated with cryptocurrencies, like coinbase going IPO, then that's fine, you might have to message the mods after posting to have it approved, no big deal.
Also if you're questioning whether something is an investment or not, just search for it on personalfinance. For general currency trading strategies, see forex .
If you're wondering if bitcoins are an investment or if there will be a crash, read on.

Are cryptocurrencies an investment?

This post is going to deal with bitcoins & cryptocurrencies as an investment... they're more speculative. All currencies are speculative mostly due to how the forex market works, but more because of exchange rates between countries keep currencies balanced (including inflation, country debt, interest rates, political & economic stability, etc), so you can only profit in price fluctuations.
Sure you could buy the currency of a depressed country, like Mexico decades ago, and then hold in the hopes it'll go up (which it did for Mexico), but that's also speculation (no one knew Mexico would pay off so much debt).
Bitcoins are also affected by other countries' currency values, but more so by the future expectation of legitimacy, world wide adoption, limited gains from mining, and eventual limit in supply. But at any given moment the United States could pay off more debt, raise interest rates to reduce inflation (or cause deflation), grow GDP, or even reduce the supply of USD all of which would increase the value of USD (keep in mind bitcoins can't do any of these things).
Far too many people are treating cryptocoins as an investment because currently (June 5th 2017) a lot of crypto investors are worth a lot of money, god bless you people, so this post will also help you determine if we're headed for a crypto crash and maybe you can keep those profits.

Should I invest in cryptocurrencies?

Understand that an investment is something you hope will go up in the future or provide income, both of which for the long term vs speculation which profits on short term inefficiencies.
Speculative securities are typically commodities, options, bonds, and currencies, but also stocks that are volatile enough to give you extreme returns or extreme loses.

Examples of investments:

Examples of speculation:

Reducing the risk of speculation

Typically for speculation you reduce risk by reducing your trade size and timeframe, but since you're trying to invest into something that is speculative, you can try:
Asset allocation, a strategy that reduces risk.. If you're 80% stocks, 15% bonds, 4% gold, and 1% bitcoins, if something were to happen to bitcoins, you still have 99% of your money.
But even very aggressive long term portfolios leave speculation out completely and just go 100% stocks because stocks benefit from growth while speculative securities like gold benefit from global turmoil in the short term. Only mid risk & mid term portfolios can take advantage of gold's speculative returns.
I also mention asset allocation because many crypto investors have been using this strategy on a portfolio of 100% crypto coins, but that doesn't help you reduce the overall risk of crypto coins, you're just reducing the risk of 1 speculative asset with another speculative asset. 100% crypto portfolio would face the same risks such as being made illegal, IRS aggressively hunting down crypto profits, a drop in correlated coin markets, or just a loss of popularity would all cause a sell off. Even the USD or Chinese currencies becoming more valuable would reduce the value of crypto coins.

Should I buy coins right now?

Cryptocoins are a better investment after a period of consolidation when volatility has stabilized:

Bitcoin 2013/2014 speculation, chart

Bitcoin 2015 consolidation, chart

Source Bitstamp exchange, while the volume is #2 to GDAX, Bitstamp is better to look at for historical price/data, more charts here.

RSI & MACD key for above charts and primer

Analyzing overbought signals

So the first chart above have RSI & MACD screaming that bitcoin is overbought and you shouldn't invest in 2013/2014.
The black squares in the 2nd chart show consolidation and reduced volatility, a "better" time to invest. If you were trading short term, it would be a whole different story, and there would be opportunities to buy & short, but since this is written for investing, the small overbought signals are ignored, so if you were to buy Bitcoin at $300 inside the first blacksquare (2nd chart) and then it suddenly drops to 25%, it's okay because the volatility is much lower compared to previous price movements (nothing compared to 80% loss in the 1st chart). Any investor would tell you a 25% drop is terrible, but bitcoins are speculative and that kind of drop is pretty damn good for this level of volatility.

Nothing goes straight up forever

and anything that comes near this vertical incline will eventually lose 80% to near 100%, always happens, it's usually preceded by emotions (price euphoria), attention, and increased volume, all classic signs that something is becoming riskier.
Other speculative securities gaining multiples and then losing 80% to near 100% of value:

Notable comments on reddit:

*This is just to get you guys looking at different subs on this topic, and yeah it's mostly anti-crypto, but don't let that discourage you.

Is Bitcoin going to crash?

Maybe, the signals are getting louder, you tell me: The only chart you wanted to see this entire time.
So based on the above chart, is bitcoin overbought? MACD levels are the same as 2013's crash, but the increased in value is around 4.3x or 2.4x (depending on which you look at), so maybe we'll see another spike before a crash, I don't know, it's up to interpretation right now. There's the emotional price levels of 3000 and 4000 that we might have no problem getting to in an overbought environment before a correction. And how big will the correction be? I think 80%, but it very well could be around 50% down to $1200, the previous level of resistance which would become support.
I put everything above in its own wiki here.
Well I hope that helps everyone. Sorry to anyone that may feel butthurt on classifying cryptocoins as speculation, I hope you understand the facts. Feel free to argue or agree with this. If I made any mistakes and you point them out, I'll correct them and give you credit for it in an update to this post and the wiki.
Also the automod will is just going to blanket remove posts (not comments) with the following keywords {crypto, bitcoin, btc, etherium, altcoin} (see update 4 below) (this will eventually get relaxed if Coinbase ever IPOs) and then it'll send the user this message:
"Sorry your post[link] was removed in stocks because of rule 6: Bitcoins & cryptocurrenies should be discussed in CryptoCurrency. You can find more information in our are-cryptocurrencies-investments wiki. If you're trying to discuss a non-OTC stock related to cryptocoins like Coinbase IPO, or this was just a mistake, message the mods and they'll approve your post, thanks."
Update: Created wiki, added relevant websites and sub reddits. Also turned on automod reply.
Update2: those relavant websites and subreddits I put into the wiki, thanks u/dross99 for recommending ethereum

Relevant websites/wikis

Relevant subreddits

  • CryptoCurrency - main sub to learn about all bit & altcoins
  • ethtrader - trading eth
  • ethereum - for more eth information
  • btc - the place to have bitcoin discussions or r/CryptoCurrency; while Bitcoin does have a lot of information on Bitcoins in general, you'll find many reddit subs completely opposed to Bitcoin for heavy censorship of discussions, especially those critical of bitcoins, so you're better off reading the sub's wikis and discussing bitcoins in btc & r/CryptoCurrency
  • personalfinance
Update3: Shoutout to the mods on CryptoCurrency
Update4: Updated auto mod keywords, it's not a blanket catch all, a little completed to understand if you don't know regex but it looks like this
"crypto ?(trading|investing)","(should(| I)|could(| I)|can(| I)|how to|is it worth) (buy|sell|mine|min)(|ing) (btc|btcs|bitcoin|ether|etherium|eth|litecoin|ripple|altcoin)" 
submitted by provoko to stocks [link] [comments]

[uncensored-r/Bitcoin] CBOE Bitcoin Futures: Trading advice from a seasoned stock+options+forex trader

The following post by Battelman2 is being replicated because some comments within the post(but not the post itself) have been silently removed.
The original post can be found(in censored form) at this link:
np.reddit.com/ Bitcoin/comments/7ix6ds
The original post's content was as follows:
Disclaimer: This is only my opinion. Nobody knows what will happen in the future, but this is what I will be doing.
TLDR: If you own Bitcoin already: don't sell. If you want to buy more, watch the market over the next few days (especially the next few hours) for good opportunities.
I've been a professional (other people's money) stock, options, and FOREX day-trader for a few years, and have many more years of non-professional (my own money) experience.
In about one hour (6PM Eastern Time), the Chicago Board Options Exchange will begin trading Bitcoin futures under the ticker XBT.
A short explanation of futures trading: Traders bet on the future price on an asset, in this case Bitcoin. Instead of actually trading Bitcoin, they are trading contracts that give the right to buy or sell the asset at a certain price. Futures exist for many assets, including but not limited to Gold, Silver, Wheat, Corn, Soy, the S&P500, etc.... Read more on futures here.

What does this mean for Bitcoin?

The addition of this new security will make a big impact on Bitcoin trading. Bitcoin will see a huge increase in trading volume and, consequently, short-term volatility. Eventually, the addition of volume will cause the price to stabilize. However, the new traders will likely cause a frenzy of buying and selling that, for the near future, will cause huge spikes in both directions. Again, in the long-term, the price should stabilize from the additional liquidity, but the influx of traders will temporarily destabilize the market.
Other than the price, the introduction of Bitcoin to mainstream traders will further support the growth of Bitcoin as a currency. I am very pro-Bitcoin long-term.
Watch this video from Andreas Antonopoulos for his insight on the CBOE.

My Plan

This is my opinion. I cannot predict the future with certainty, and there is a very good chance I will be wrong. Be smart with your trading to protect you when you're wrong.
Today I sold about half of my Bitcoin at a profit after buying during yesterday's mini-correction. My plan is to hold the other half through the chaos. I am anticipating major price swings in both directions over the next few hours/days, so I intend to buy back the Bitcoin I sold if/when the price dips considerably. In the event that the price skyrockets, I still have half of my Bitcoin. In the event that the price tanks downwards, I can buy much more Bitcoin to bring my average Bitcoin price down significantly.
If you already have Bitcoin, I suggest holding it tight. If you want to buy more, you may see some very good opportunities in the near future.
Good luck! :)
EDIT: Although futures trading started tonight, most traders will not engage in trading until tomorrow morning.
Thanks for the gold!
submitted by censorship_notifier to noncensored_bitcoin [link] [comments]

[Hiring] Sr. and Intermediate Web Developers

That Oil & Gas industry company you're currently writing apps for looking a little shaky? Wanna move on? Consider this...
My company, Investopedia.com, are hiring both Senior (5+ years exp.) and Intermediate (3 to 5 years exp.) web developers to build a new development team here in Edmonton (development was formerly in Shanghai, China but we're moving it back here). We're primarily a PHP shop with some Java web services and Python data collection & analytic systems.
It's a super fun office to work in, we've got a mini-golf course in the office, plentiful snacks, a good fitness benefit, and several team social events each year (we went curling for Christmas last year, it was a blast!). Both positions come with the possibility of some travel to New York City and/or Los Angeles. Salary ranges are quite good for the Edmonton area, we're owned by IAC (Ask.com, About.com, Match.com etc.) who are a silicon valley company and they pay silicon valley wages.
The company is very successful and we're looking to grow it greatly in the near future.
Here's the HR BS about the company:
"Think Silicon Valley, but without the hassle of leaving Edmonton’s beautiful climate. Founded in Edmonton in 1999, Investopedia is a top consumer destination site for investing education, personal finance, market analysis, and trading tools – such as trading simulators, calculators, and test prep quizzes. At Investopedia, it’s our mission to provide trusted financial information to help people make intelligent investment decisions.
Investopedia has more than 14 million monthly unique viewers and 45 million page views each month. The site offers over 14,000 financial definitions, 4,000 articles, 2,000 FAQs, and hundreds of videos covering all aspects of finance and investing. We also offer successful stock and forex simulators, as well as a quiz application for people taking their finance professional exams, and an iOS app showcasing our finance dictionary.
Owned by IAC/InterActiveCorp, Investopedia collaborates frequently with other business units in the Inform Media Group, including Ask.com, About.com, and Dictionary.com. We have strategic partnerships with a range of companies, such as Microsoft, Google, Bloomberg, and Yahoo Finance."
Here's the job postings:
Sr.: https://iacsearch-openhire.silkroad.com/epostings/index.cfm?fuseaction=app.jobinfo&id=23&jobid=298&company_id=17111&version=7&source=ONLINE&JobOwner=993119&level=levelid1&levelid1=36360&parent=Web%20Development&startflag=2
Int.: https://iacsearch-openhire.silkroad.com/epostings/index.cfm?fuseaction=app.jobinfo&id=23&jobid=296&company_id=17111&version=7&source=ONLINE&JobOwner=993119&level=levelid1&levelid1=36360&parent=Web%20Development&startflag=2
You can apply at the links above or feel free to send me a message if you have any questions. We're looking for good people with solid development skills, if this is you please apply!
submitted by MrTheFinn to EdmontonJobs [link] [comments]

[Hiring] Sr. and Intermediate Web Developers, Edmonton, AB

That Oil & Gas industry company you're currently writing apps for looking a little shaky? Wanna move on? Consider this...
My company, Investopedia.com, are hiring both Senior (5+ years exp.) and Intermediate (3 to 5 years exp.) web developers to build a new development team here in Edmonton (development was formerly in Shanghai, China but we're moving it back here). We're primarily a PHP shop with some Java web services and Python data collection & analytic systems.
It's a super fun office to work in, we've got a mini-golf course in the office, plentiful snacks, a good fitness benefit, and several team social events each year (we went curling for Christmas last year, it was a blast!). Both positions come with the possibility of some travel to New York City and/or Los Angeles. Salary ranges are quite good for the Edmonton area, we're owned by IAC (Ask.com, About.com, Match.com etc.) who are a silicon valley company and they pay silicon valley wages.
The company is very successful and we're looking to grow it greatly in the near future.
Here's the HR BS about the company:
"Think Silicon Valley, but without the hassle of leaving Edmonton’s beautiful climate. Founded in Edmonton in 1999, Investopedia is a top consumer destination site for investing education, personal finance, market analysis, and trading tools – such as trading simulators, calculators, and test prep quizzes. At Investopedia, it’s our mission to provide trusted financial information to help people make intelligent investment decisions.
Investopedia has more than 14 million monthly unique viewers and 45 million page views each month. The site offers over 14,000 financial definitions, 4,000 articles, 2,000 FAQs, and hundreds of videos covering all aspects of finance and investing. We also offer successful stock and forex simulators, as well as a quiz application for people taking their finance professional exams, and an iOS app showcasing our finance dictionary.
Owned by IAC/InterActiveCorp, Investopedia collaborates frequently with other business units in the Inform Media Group, including Ask.com, About.com, and Dictionary.com. We have strategic partnerships with a range of companies, such as Microsoft, Google, Bloomberg, and Yahoo Finance."
Here's the job postings:
Sr.: https://iacsearch-openhire.silkroad.com/epostings/index.cfm?fuseaction=app.jobinfo&id=23&jobid=298&company_id=17111&version=7&source=ONLINE&JobOwner=993119&level=levelid1&levelid1=36360&parent=Web%20Development&startflag=2
Int.: https://iacsearch-openhire.silkroad.com/epostings/index.cfm?fuseaction=app.jobinfo&id=23&jobid=296&company_id=17111&version=7&source=ONLINE&JobOwner=993119&level=levelid1&levelid1=36360&parent=Web%20Development&startflag=2
You can apply at the links above or feel free to send me a message if you have any questions. We're looking for good people with solid development skills, if this is you please apply!
submitted by MrTheFinn to albertajobs [link] [comments]

Micro E-Mini Futures Hedging - YouTube New Micro Futures - Say Goodbye to Forex? - YouTube Beginners Guide to Forex by Investopedia Live Day Trading The E-mini Futures Scalping E mini Futures on Limit Down  Live Scalping 013 ... Micro E-Mini Futures Contracts - YouTube Day Trading E-mini Futures - YouTube

Forex mini accounts. If you are new in the Forex business and don't want to investigate a lot of money into your first try then you probably need a so called Forex mini account. These accounts enable you to start trading on the Forex market with a small starting deposit like $100-$500. In the first video, we dive into the history and composition of the DAX®/Mini-DAX® and the fundamentals of trading futures. Eugen Mohr, Equity and Index Sales Lower tax rate: Trading futures is taxed differently from other markets such as Forex or Stocks. In futures profit income is taxed at a blended rate called the 40/60 rule. 60% of profits is taxed at a long term capital gains rate plus 40% at a short term capital gains tax rate (short term rate is typically higher than long term rate). All gains in stocks and forex are taxed at the higher short ... Day Trading Futures Markets explained using price action by our head futures moderator Rose! Start your 14-day free trial with our trading community here: ... Forex Mini Account: A type of brokerage account that is used by beginner traders looking to enter the foreign exchange market. A forex mini account allows the investor to take a smaller position ... Right out of the gate, these contracts proved extremely popular. The micro e-mini S&P 500 futures hit a volume of almost 417,000 contracts traded on June 3, 2019. Mini Futures in Form von Zertifikaten. Mini Futures sind börsengehandelte Hebelprodukte. Sie werden von Emittenten wie der Deutschen Bank, HSBC Trinkaus oder der Commerzbank herausgegeben. Das bedeutet für den Anleger, dass er quasi direkt mit der Bank handelt. Als Basiswerte kommen Indizes, Aktien, Anleihen oder auch Rohstoffe in Betracht. Mini-Futures haben keine fest Laufzeit. Alle Mini ...

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Micro E-Mini Futures Hedging - YouTube

Beginners Guide to Forex by Investopedia Kiss Trading Academy. Loading... Unsubscribe from Kiss Trading Academy? Cancel Unsubscribe. Working... Subscribe Subscribed Unsubscribe 1.45K. Loading ... Subscribe: http://bit.ly/SubscribeTDAmeritrade In May 2019, the CME Group launched Micro E-mini futures contracts for four major U.S. stock indices: S&P 500,... E-mini Futures Day Trading on this beautiful Tuesday afternoon, I hope everybody had a great trading day, check out the video!!! https://www.instagram.com/ma... New Micro Futures - Say Goodbye to Forex? It’s a new thing that will come out in May 2019 which will drop the capital requirements. On 11 March 2019 CME Grou... Limit down is no laughing matter. While it's great for traders, there are real world implications to these large selloffs. 🎓 Scalping Course: https://www.day... Get an example of how to hedge your position more precisely using Micro E-mini futures on four Equity Index contracts. Subscribe: https://www.youtube.com/sub... I may also trade the YM (Dow futures) depending on volatility. We take day trades a longer-term swing trades on the indices, forex, commodities and more. #livetrading #livetradestream #E -mini ...

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